Probability Questions

Multiple choice
  1. $\cfrac { 5 }{ 12 } $
  2. $\cfrac { 5 }{ 24 } $
  3. $\cfrac { 1 }{ 3 } $
  4. $\cfrac { 3 }{ 8 } $
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
B Correct answer
Explanation

Let H be the event of getting heads. The probabilities of picking each coin are 1/3. P(H) = (1/3 * 1) + (1/3 * 0.9) + (1/3 * 0.5) = (1 + 0.9 + 0.5) / 3 = 2.4 / 3 = 0.8. The probability it is the unbiased coin given heads is P(Unbiased and H) / P(H) = (1/3 * 0.5) / 0.8 = 0.5 / 2.4 = 5/24.

Multiple choice
  1. $\dfrac {5}{9}$
  2. $\dfrac {5}{18}$
  3. $\dfrac {1}{3}$
  4. $\dfrac {2}{3}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
A Correct answer
Explanation

Initially there are 6 red and 4 black balls (total 10). If one red ball is removed, 5 red and 4 black balls remain (total 9). The probability that the second ball is red is 5/9.

Multiple choice
  1. $\dfrac { 37 }{ 125 } $
  2. $\dfrac { 6 }{ 125 } $
  3. $\dfrac { 1 }{ 125 } $
  4. $\dfrac { 36 }{ 125 } $
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
A Correct answer
Explanation

Probabilities of drawing white from boxes are 3/5, 2/5, 1/5. Probabilities of black are 2/5, 3/5, 4/5. We need 2 white and 1 black: (W1, W2, B3) + (W1, B2, W3) + (B1, W2, W3) = (3/5*2/5*4/5) + (3/5*3/5*1/5) + (2/5*2/5*1/5) = 24/125 + 9/125 + 4/125 = 37/125.

Multiple choice
  1. $\dfrac12$
  2. $\dfrac1n$
  3. $\dfrac{n}{(2n +1)}$
  4. $\dfrac1{(2n + 1)}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
A Correct answer
Explanation

This is a binomial distribution problem with p = 3/6 = 1/2. For a symmetric distribution with 2n+1 trials, the probability of success in at most n trials is exactly 1/2 because the probability of success in at most n trials equals the probability of success in at least n+1 trials.

Multiple choice
  1. $\dfrac {32}{55}$
  2. $\dfrac {33}{55}$
  3. $\dfrac {32}{63}$
  4. $\dfrac {25}{66}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
A Correct answer
Explanation

There are two cases: drawing a red ball from B (prob 4/10) or a black ball from B (prob 6/10). If red is moved, Bag A becomes 7 red, 4 black (prob 7/11). If black is moved, Bag A becomes 6 red, 5 black (prob 6/11). Total probability = (4/10 * 7/11) + (6/10 * 6/11) = 28/110 + 36/110 = 64/110 = 32/55.

Multiple choice
  1. $\dfrac {1}{2}$
  2. $\dfrac {1}{3}$
  3. $1$
  4. $\dfrac {1}{6}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
B Correct answer
Explanation

Let p be the probability of A getting a head and 1/2 be the probability of B getting a head. The probability of A winning is p + (1-p)(1/2)p + (1-p)(1/2)(1-p)(1/2)p + ... which is a geometric series summing to p / (1 - (1-p)/2) = 2p / (1+p). Setting this equal to 1/2 gives 4p = 1+p, so 3p = 1, p = 1/3.