Probability Questions

Multiple choice
  1. $10$
  2. $11$
  3. $12$
  4. $13$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
A Correct answer
Explanation

Let n urns have 4W, 6B and 1 urn have 5W, 5B. Total urns = n+1. P(Urn_n+1 | 2B) = [P(2B | Urn_n+1) * P(Urn_n+1)] / [P(2B | Urn_n+1) * P(Urn_n+1) + P(2B | Urn_n) * P(Urn_n)]. P(2B | Urn_n+1) = 5C2 / 10C2 = 10/45 = 2/9. P(2B | Urn_n) = 6C2 / 10C2 = 15/45 = 1/3. P(Urn_n+1) = 1/(n+1), P(Urn_n) = n/(n+1). 1/16 = (2/9 * 1/(n+1)) / (2/9 * 1/(n+1) + 1/3 * n/(n+1)) = (2/9) / (2/9 + n/3) = 2 / (2 + 3n). 2 + 3n = 32, 3n = 30, n = 10.

Multiple choice
  1. $\displaystyle \frac{15}{56}$
  2. $\displaystyle \frac{5}{18}$
  3. $\displaystyle \frac{275}{504}$
  4. $\displaystyle \frac{275}{624}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
C Correct answer
Explanation

Probability of choosing bag 1 is 1/2. P(diff colors | bag 1) = (5/8 * 3/7) + (3/8 * 5/7) = 30/56 = 15/28. Probability of choosing bag 2 is 1/2. P(diff colors | bag 2) = (4/9 * 5/8) + (5/9 * 4/8) = 40/72 = 5/9. Total probability = 1/2 * (15/28 + 5/9) = 1/2 * ((135 + 140) / 252) = 275 / 504.

Multiple choice
  1. $\displaystyle \frac{5}{27}$
  2. $\displaystyle \frac{1}{9}$
  3. $\displaystyle \frac{2}{27}$
  4. $\displaystyle \frac{4}{27}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
C Correct answer
Explanation

Total balls = 2 + 3 + 4 = 9. Probability of white = 2/9. Probability of black = 3/9 = 1/3. Since the draw is with replacement, the events are independent: (2/9) * (3/9) = 6/81 = 2/27.

Multiple choice
  1. I only

  2. II only

  3. both I and II

  4. neither I nor II

Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
B Correct answer
Explanation

Urn A: 2W, 3B (Total 5). Urn B: 3W, 4B (Total 7). P(A) = 1/2, P(B) = 1/2. P(B|A) = 3/5, P(B|B) = 4/7. P(Black) = (1/2 * 3/5) + (1/2 * 4/7) = 3/10 + 4/14 = 21/70 + 20/70 = 41/70. P(A|Black) = (3/10) / (41/70) = 21/41. P(B|Black) = (20/70) / (41/70) = 20/41. Statement II is correct.

Multiple choice
  1. $\displaystyle \frac{1}{2}$
  2. $\displaystyle \frac{11}{21}$
  3. $\displaystyle \frac{10}{21}$
  4. $\displaystyle \frac{1}{21}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
C Correct answer
Explanation

Total ways to choose 4 cards from 10 is 10C4 = 210. For the sum to be odd, we need an odd number of odd cards (1 or 3). Odd cards: {1,3,5,7,9} (5), Even cards: {2,4,6,8,10} (5). Case 1 (1 odd, 3 even): 5C1 * 5C3 = 5 * 10 = 50. Case 2 (3 odd, 1 even): 5C3 * 5C1 = 10 * 5 = 50. Total favorable = 100. Probability = 100/210 = 10/21.

Multiple choice
  1. $\displaystyle \frac{15}{316}$
  2. $\displaystyle \frac{17}{316}$
  3. $\displaystyle \frac{19}{316}$
  4. $\displaystyle \frac{21}{316}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
C Correct answer
Explanation

Numbers divisible by 4 between 1 and 80 are 80/4 = 20 numbers. The probability of picking two such numbers is (20/80) * (19/79) = (1/4) * (19/79) = 19/316.

Multiple choice
  1. $\displaystyle \frac{n_{C_{r}}}{^NC_{n}}$
  2. $\displaystyle \frac{R_{C_{r}}}{^NC_{n}}$
  3. $\displaystyle \frac{^{R}C_{r}\times ^{N-R}c_{n-r}}{^{N}C_{n}}$
  4. $\displaystyle \frac{^{N}C_{r}}{^{R}C_{n}}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
C Correct answer
Explanation

This is a classic hypergeometric distribution problem. The number of ways to choose r red balls from R is RCr, and the number of ways to choose the remaining (n-r) balls from (N-R) is (N-R)C(n-r). The total ways to choose n balls from N is NCn.

Multiple choice
  1. $\displaystyle \frac{1}{5}$
  2. $\displaystyle \frac{1}{10}$
  3. $\displaystyle \frac{1}{25}$
  4. $\displaystyle \frac{1}{15}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
C Correct answer
Explanation

Numbers divisible by 5 between 1 and 100 are 20. Probability of picking one is 20/100 = 1/5. Since replacement occurs, the probability for both is (1/5) * (1/5) = 1/25.

Multiple choice
  1. $\displaystyle 1-\frac{1}{2^{n}}$
  2. $\displaystyle \frac{1}{2^{n-1}}$
  3. $\displaystyle 1-\frac{1}{2^{n+1}}$
  4. $\displaystyle 1-\frac{1}{2^{n-1}}$
Reveal answer Fill a bubble to check yourself
D Correct answer
Explanation

Total outcomes = 2^n. Outcomes with all heads = 1. Outcomes with all tails = 1. Probability of (all heads or all tails) = 2 / 2^n = 1 / 2^(n-1). Probability of NOT getting these = 1 - 1 / 2^(n-1).