The rollout puts the hit on top. As I said before, I wouldn't have hit here, but if we give the opponent a significant race lead without increasing his attacking potential too much then I would probably hit.
I've also constructed a possible position that Yellow may have faced on the previous roll, to illustrate that creating a blotty board isn't necessarily a blunder.
1.  Rollout^{1}  22/11*  eq: 0.445 
 Player: Opponent:  40.33% (G:16.38% B:0.82%) 59.67% (G:30.77% B:3.80%)  Conf: ± 0.017 (0.462...0.428) Duration: 2 hours 14 minutes 

2.  Rollout^{1}  9/4 9/3  eq: 0.505 (0.060) 
 Player: Opponent:  36.75% (G:3.72% B:0.05%) 63.25% (G:5.02% B:0.16%)  Conf: ± 0.008 (0.513...0.497) Duration: 1 hour 26 minutes 


^{1} 3000 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: RockwellKazaross
Here's a candidate for the position on the previous roll.
1.  XG Roller+  7/4 7/3  eq: 0.381 
 Player: Opponent:  39.69% (G:4.75% B:0.06%) 60.31% (G:5.04% B:0.19%)  

2.  XG Roller+  9/5 7/4  eq: 0.385 (0.004) 
 Player: Opponent:  39.36% (G:5.65% B:0.11%) 60.64% (G:7.02% B:0.48%)  

3.  XG Roller+  9/6 9/5  eq: 0.396 (0.015) 
 Player: Opponent:  38.79% (G:5.09% B:0.09%) 61.21% (G:6.32% B:0.21%)  

4.  XG Roller+  9/6 7/3  eq: 0.397 (0.016) 
 Player: Opponent:  39.04% (G:5.24% B:0.10%) 60.96% (G:7.13% B:0.48%)  

5.  XG Roller+  7/3 6/3  eq: 0.401 (0.020) 
 Player: Opponent:  38.63% (G:4.76% B:0.07%) 61.37% (G:6.36% B:0.30%)  

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: RockwellKazaross