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Bayes' Theorem - Class XII
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Box I contains $2$ white and $3$ red balls and box II contains $4$ white and $5$ red balls. One ball is drawn at random from one of the boxes and is found to be red. Then, the probability that it was from box II, is?
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A
$\cfrac{54}{104}$
💡 Explanation:
Probability that the ball drawn is red and from ! =$P(R/A)$
$P(R/A) = \cfrac{P(A/R)\times P(A)}{P(B/R)\times P(B) + P(A/R) \times P(A)}$
$P(R/A) = \cfrac{3}{5}, P(R/B) = \cfrac{5}{9}$
$P(A) = \cfrac{1}{2}, P(B) = \cfrac{1}{2}$
$P(R/A) = \cfrac{\cfrac{3}{5}\times \cfrac{1}{2}}{\cfrac{5}{9}\times \cfrac{1}{2} + \cfrac{3}{5} \times \cfrac{1}{2}} = \cfrac{54}{104}$